No Need For Debate: If Possible, the Orioles Should Be Buyers
Every year as the trade deadline approaches, fans who are fortunate
enough to find their team in contention get the luxury of engaging in
a fun debate: should our team be buyers?
Should they, in other words, make a play for one or more guys who
might take a group from pretty good to very good, possibly playoff
good? Or should they stick with what they have and hope it's enough?
As Orioles fans, we typically sit this out and instead engage in some
deadline variation of "sell or do nothing?" It's usually not much fun,
and it involves a lot of hoping that a desperate team will overpay in
the form of legit prospects for someone we don't really need or want.
This year, however - assuming the O's don't fold - we'll be right in
the thick of it. Dan Duquette has a real decision to make.
Except it's not really a decision at all. If the Orioles are still in
the mix come July they should absolutely be buyers.
The future has been promised for a long time. Mostly out of necessity
but partly because the idea is that when you're losing you're building
and someday it will pay off. When it finally starts to, you know,
actually pay off that is not the time to continue saying
"next year." That's the time to say "let's see how far we can take
this."
To be clear, I'm not suggesting that "buy" means "mortgage the future
on a two-month run." That'd be just as stupid as standing still.
Rather, what I'm suggesting is that if the Orioles appear close enough
to the playoffs that adding an arm or a bat might put them over the
top then they have to seriously explore the opportunity.
Exploring the opportunity means exploring the idea of giving up real
value. It might mean handing over a legit prospect or two, or it might
mean entertaining offers on names like (gasp!) Nick Markakis or Brian Roberts or
Jake Arrieta or Jim Johnson.
Risky? Of course. And some players must remain untouchable (Matt Wieters,
Adam Jones, Dylan Bundy, and Manny Machado for example). But Duquette should be - is
practically obligated to be - at least moderately aggressive.
We don't know how long this good fortune is going to last. We don't
know what's going to happen next year. They could easily finish 10
games above .500 this year then turn around in 2013 and regress to
five games below. If this group is still strong in July that will
represent a chance that's been a long time coming. As a fan who's
suffered through every bit of the losing, I don't want to see it go to
waste.